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Cake day: June 12th, 2023

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  • You are still showing your lack of understanding of statistics. It requires a large sample size, yes, and the larger it is the more accurate it will be, but the proportion of the total population doesn’t have to be large at all. Margin of error and confidence are both controlled by the absolute sample size (assuming a random sampling). Here’s a link that covers the basics. Most serious polls use a sample size of about 5000. Now, 1000 isn’t terrible, but it isn’t good, but not because it’s such a tiny fraction of the population.

    As for the methodology, which is also critical, I don’t know what method for phone surveys is considered adequate, and it is well known that phone surveys are becoming less relevant even if they are more accurate than polls where the respondents are self-selected.