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Cake day: August 14th, 2024

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  • Smart thing would be to completely agree with Trump. Get $100T in military might, defeat Russia, get call from US about new rare earth metals, and then just be like “I’m sorry, who dis?”

    I mean what are they going to do, invade Ukraine? Didn’t you hear, they got $100T in military supplies to back them up.

    Trump always forgetting that some of this shit don’t ROI till way longer than he’ll be around. If Ukraine has any sense, they’ll send a giant gold plate W for Trump’s win, if he promises tanks and planes. They keep saying the wars ongoing for the next fifty years for all it matters. And if the US wants that metal upfront be like, “Yeah y’all come on in and mine it yourselves, don’t let us get in your way.” Then oops, sorry we bombed that, thought it was Russia.

    Like Trump thinking he’s walking with some massive upset and it’s just Ukraine court to play ball how they want. Shit yeah Ukraine “agrees” to whatever.



  • Distrowatch doesn’t research anything and cries foul without second thought because Meta is evil

    But it’s not Distrowatch’s job to verify an opaque censorship process. Meta is the one who created their filters and their filters are not open for public review. So it is entirely incumbent for Meta to handle the matter.

    Distrowatch is correct to cry foul because that’s literally all they can do. It’s not like they can suggest a patch on github or something.

    We have to remember that black box logic is wholly owned by the author of the logic. If it ain’t working, then yeah, cry foul, there’s no additional research to be done. That’s literally the entire point of obfuscating logic in a service, to ensure that nobody else can review the internals.

    Meta was completely in the wrong. Distrowatch called them out on their fuckery. That is exactly how the system is supposed to work when a company blackboxes their shit.

    Facebook support (person making around $3.5 per month in some third world country) doesn’t know difference between specific Linux distro and Linux itself, tells Distrowatch that Linux is now banned

    Very likely. Run a shit company, get shit results. Distrowatch running with “Linux is now banned on Facebook” is not a result of lack of research, it’s the result of a company that just gave up on giving a fuck.

    Our standards for companies have really fucking eroded over time and boy oh boy do CEOs eat that shit up. Meta has a systemic failure on-going in their company to which the C-Staff do NOT care one bit about. This episode is a manifestation of those failures. Meta has to up their fucking game here.

    This notion that Distrowatch should have… That’s like saying someone who cut their mouth on glass in their McDonald’s burger is to blame for not first checking their burger for glass. The glass shouldn’t fucking be there in the first place. Customers have a reasonable expectation that a company isn’t a dumpster fire and it isn’t incumbent on the customers to ensure they aren’t stepping into a goddamn disaster zone.

    I just really need people to understand, we have got to upper our expectations of companies. Because every time we let something like “oh well Distrowatch should have known they were talking to a complete moron”, we are letting these asshats who are currently enriching themselves on the United State’s taxpayer’s dime, get away with it.

    Meta was fucking up badly and Distrowatch was letting everyone know in medias res how Meta was fucking up. This is 100% Meta fucked up. Don’t want $3.50/mo employees giving shit answers? Likely a good way for Meta to solve that is to NOT have fucking $3.50/month employees. It’s a pretty clear strategy for them to consider. Till then, they’re likely going to be handing out bullshit answers that contain no sense of logic and we ought to fucking call them out on it.

    We live in everyone is dumb timeline

    I’m not going to have this, “well people should have known better.” We ought not excuse Meta for this monumental fuck up. This is theirs to own. Everyone cannot randomly research every line of bullshit that’s pandered off by companies. There is just no time for that non-sense. If Distrowatch says “Meta told us Linux is banned” and provides the email to back it up, then until Meta says otherwise, that should be taken as the gospel of the company. If Meta thinks that it shouldn’t have gone the way it went, then Meta needs to fix their fucking hiring policies.

    WE HAVE GOT TO STOP EXCUSING THESE PEOPLE. They are NOT going to act better if we give them even a single centimeter.

    I get what you are saying, but this isn’t Distrowatch’s thing to reevaluate how stories hit the front page. Meta fucked up every step of the way. And for a company that’s pulling down a seven digit multiple value to what Distrowatch pulls in a year. Meta can fucking figure it out because they have access to a ten million fold more resources.

    That’s just my two cents on this explanation.


  • this means deepseek is based on an openai model?

    It doesn’t sound like it is. It sounds more like it’s hallucinating which DeepSeeks has a really light end fine-tuning. But who knows? While their stuff is Open Source, no one has yet to test it and see if they can reproduce the results DeepSeek got. For all we know this is just a Chinese con or the real deal. But not knowing how you landed into this point of the conversation it comes off as a context aware hallucination.

    It knows about openai and it being a LLM but it’s mixed up self identity in specific with identity in general. That is it is start to confuse LLMs and ChatGPT as meaning the same thing and then trying to wire back this bad assumption to make sense again.

    Again, who really knows at this point? It’s too new and it being in China, there’s likely no way to verify these people’s claims until someone can take what they’ve published and made a similar LLM.



  • Hur, hur, folks will speak about “DeepSeek won’t let me talk about June 3rd, 1989”

    That’s not really the point nor why investors are bailing.

    Investors are popping bubbles mostly because they already knew nVidia and the AI craze was overvalued. There just wasn’t a hard case for making the short sell.

    That’s where DeepSeek comes in, not because of what they offer, but because of how they did it. nVidia has posed the market that the ONLY means towards the “bright AI future™” is via their advanced chips. Chips mind you, that China does not have access to.

    Well guess who has a pretty advanced model for a country that’s not supposed to have the chips to do that? So one of two things is going on AND it plays well to our AI short sellers.

    1. China is indeed somehow getting those chips even though they aren’t supposed to, which means vendors like Apple, Microsoft, Oracle, etc have Chinese competition and that went so well for American companies last time they had to compete with China.
    2. nVidia is a big fibber, and we don’t actually need their super deluxe chips to get advanced models, meaning team green is overpricing their hardware.

    It’s one of these two situations and it’s THAT, that had investors finally getting that sweet, sweet orgasm of calling bullshit on a market leader. Now the science is still out here. DeepSeek put out a lot of information and open sourced their code on how they went about building their LLM. So, science doing what science does best, there should be some repeatability to what DeepSeek did. And there’s plenty of folks around who have the setup to attempt it. So eventually we should see SeepDeek soon enough or whatever.

    So if we start seeing SeepDeek, Zuckerbot 5000, and so on. Then it’s number two that’s likely true, which means nVidia is going to be hurting. Now if we don’t see any of that coming out, well then arrows start to point to number one. nVidia isn’t hurting too much, but boy oh boy will the vendors not like seeing some of that inventory going to people it shouldn’t be going to. If there’s one thing American Companies hate, it’s competition when there shouldn’t be any.

    That’s the thing with FeepPeaks here. It isn’t that your social credit score will hit the hunny pot for dear leader Xi Jinpoobear. It’s that someone has successfully given the required red meat to the autist that have been chomping at the bit to short the fuck out of team greenbacks. That’s the bigger story here. It’s that sly pandering to the retards of WSB to do what they do best in spite of the recent “US superiority for meme coins and Presidential rug pulls.”

    Now in the end if number two does pull true, it’s a game changer for how nVidia was planing to do this “AI will suck your fucking dick if you buy the top shelf silicon”. What DeepSeek does isn’t a golden goose here, it’s still a bit slower than <<those other LLMs>>, what it does do is get the job done for about the same number of kilowatts coming into your setup.

    Put another way, nVidia’s top tier card gives you the full service, cups the balls, gentle humming, no teeth, all the way to the base. The “Shit we Sell to the Chinese™”, is like the person who spits in their hand once and tries to get the job for the friend done as fast as possible like they were trying to break up asphalt on the Interstate with a jackhammer on cocaine. DeepSeek just showed that you can get the Chinese Bullshit to lick the balls a bit, get some actual stroking in, and use actual lubricant. Still not the full service, but vastly better that the hawk tauh that nVidia was telling folks the bottom tier would get them, which nobody was really liking the idea of.

    That’s what DeeperPeaks here is putting forward. It isn’t a final product, it’s a method, a method for others to build on to take on all those vendors out there telling you that their fancy five star Swedish call girl from nVidia powers their advanced fancy you cannot live without AI model. DeepReeks is telling you that the bottom tier is that nerdy girl from all those 90s movies that if you just let her hair down and take off her glasses, well suddenly you’ve got a hottie. Yeah, she’s still awkward as fuck, but not awkward in that way where she gives you a “Roman salute”, so you might get your lemonade stand LLM model to actually make you some cash.

    That’s the thing here, not the lack of squishy Chinese people from the late 1980s. If you want you too can build one using MeekPeeks that tells you everything about tanks and the human body’s inability to carry one.





  • Exactly. What the banks are doing are selling “loans”. Musk has to pay those loans back quote/unquote someday. If the loan is good, you hold on to it as a bank because the interest makes you money. If the loan is bad, you sell it so that you can get some of your money back and make the collection of the loan someone else’s problem.

    Banks will do this for a number of reasons:

    • To manage their balance sheet. Every loan not paid in full is bad and you need to balance good (income/good loans/etc) and bad.
    • Generate immediate liquidity. Banks need to have some hard cash on hand, sometimes they sell to do just that, have hard cash.
    • Free up credit lines to lend to new borrowers. Banks only have so much resources, sometime you cut losses to get new gains.
    • Diversify the risk pool. You want a nice balance between “loans that might default” and “loans likely to not default”.

    Now for everyone else, what the parent to this comment is indicating is the second option in that list. Having to create some cold hard cash suddenly. Usually, there’s a cyclical nature to needing greenbacks by the fistful, but like everything that’s not always true. Something can “happen” and you have a sudden need to have cash in hand pronto. Good way to get that cash is to start selling low hanging fruit if you have it.

    Something like the Twitter loan is a good pitch for low hanging fruit. Musk is terrible at paying the loan back, Twitter is likely to default one day, but Musk suddenly has direct access to some pretty corrupt as fuck ways to actually pay that loan back. From what I’ve read in the article, the sell price is something like 90 to 95 cents on the dollar. So not a huge discount, this ain’t a fire sale.

    But banks might want to offload Musk from their sheets just in case that money is something someone might later investigate. Like that 95 cents on the dollar price is “We think Musk is good for it, but we likely don’t actually want his money.” So you can make that federal investigation in 2033 someone else’s problem, by selling the loan today. The big bank makes about 95% of the original amount back and when Musk goes to pay his loan in Russian Blood Rubles, it’ll be to a bank that get investigated that isn’t <<insert some large bank that would “NEVER” think to take conflicted money>>.

    That’s one theory. But there could be something on the horizon. Something that isn’t right around the corner, but coming up in the distance that the banks want to have cash on hand for. Usually you see a much larger discount, like 60 cents on the dollar, for “holy shit, this stuff is toxic but we need to offload it discreetly before everyone else wises up.”

    I don’t think point one and three apply to Musk’s particular set of loans. But who knows?! Only the bankers do.


  • One, the filing can be found here. Because this story basically links over to the WSJ’s copy of the PDF file. A PDF file that’s on their CDN which is paywalled.

    Two, yeah I was absolutely expecting this to happen and it’s likely we are going to see a ton of this. The law requires a bit of transparency. I fully expect Trump to counter with “national security” and tell the courts to fuck off because Congress is spineless as fuck. And Trump calling everything an emergency or nation security to prevent any kind of judicial oversight was like his whole MO last go round.

    Three, we’ve got to reform emergency powers in the United States. It’s got to be a one and done for 90-days. Post that, Congress has to step in. As the law is now, every 90-days the President can renew the emergency and basically the other two branches can suck his dick which is quite possibly the dumbest function we’ve got in our laws.

    All that said, I fully expect Trump to tell all the courts to go to hell and the case to be dismissed for lack of everything because it’s “top secret” shit they’re doing in DOGE. Filing in the Courts ain’t going to do shit to stop the guy. Only Congress can check the guy at this point and they are all too busy sucking his dick. So for at least the next two years, Trump will get away with literally everything.


  • the magards will finally realize they’ve been took

    No they won’t. They will line up for the next one. The only reason they will ever stop is because they have nothing left. And then when they have nothing they will blame immigrants, woke, Soros, or whoever for their lot in life.

    There are people who exist in this world who can not comprehend that the actions they take lead in part to the consequences that follow. The only thing that can be done is to watch from the side them losing everything and then getting out of the way as best one can in their fit of rage.

    Sort of like a person with a gambling addiction putting the last $10k of their life savings into a slot machine. We know what’s going to happen, there is nothing that can stop it from happening.



  • To note, the US has not sent an ambassador to the Bahamas since 2011. Nicole Avant, the last US ambassador, left the position to work with then President Obama’s reelection efforts in 2012. Since then we’ve largely left the role to the Chargé d’Affaires in the Bahamas. Nothing big happened, Avant’s tenure as ambassador wasn’t some ordeal or anything. It’s just been a long stream of weirdness and dysfunction that’s left the position open this long.

    • Obama’s purposed replacement died of leukemia before confirmation.
    • Trump kept trying to pitch Manchester whose nomination just kept getting stalled out. Didn’t help that he thought the Bahamas was a US protectorate and not, as it actually is, an independent country. But yeah, he was so ignorant of anything about the Bahamas that even the Republicans in the Senate couldn’t get him through.
    • Biden’s pick of Smyre just never made it to committee. Like it’s literally on their agenda as a To-Do. Oopsie, guess the forgot to get around to it.

    The fact that Walker is being picked is hilarious because the guy likely has zero ideas about anything related to foreign relations. It’s not some big secret that being Ambassador to the Bahamas carries with it the key to a really nice house in Nassau. And the embassy itself is quite nice though quaint. The real question is, will Walker be ambassador once the new facility gets done? Because the new embassy is supposed to be super fancy.


  • Freezing investment into the country and nuclear grade austerity will always bring inflation to an almost stand still. You’re literally tossing liquid nitrogen on your economy, it’s absolutely going to freeze.

    The IMF does not expect the Argentine economy to grow this year, but rather to decline by 3.5%, while it should start growing next year.

    And this is the key aspect that usually makes people who consider this pause for a second. Because freezing your economy might solve the right now problem, it also has the ability to ice economic activity completely, triggering an economic depression. This is the “balance” so to say. The harder your freeze, the more you’ll need to rewarm the markets to get your economy going again.

    President Milei and the government hope that the new laws, which offer investors decades of tax and customs relief, will quickly attract capital and curb the recession.

    This has always been the super tricky part of the weapons grade austerity. The what comes after part. So Milei has done it, he’s cooled the markets and supply has nearly cratered in the country. The next steps is to get production back and start pesos in the country to start flowing again.

    I’ve always been a bit irresolute about Milei’s approach on the economy. I’m not against it, it’s just a strategy that’s playing with fire in a gun powder factory. First and foremost, I hope that the people in Argentina find economic stability, because boy do they deserve it. So to that end I hope WHOEVER succeeds in getting that done. And second, I really hope this is something that can be long lasting. Hyper austerity has a history of bad boomerang effects. It can work, it’s just takes a ton of work, more than most governments are willing to invest. And so there’s a big chance that we could start to see some positive only to then watch it completely crumble once again.

    If I was a leader, this isn’t exactly a strategy I would pick. There’s just a ton of places where it can go all wrong. But I hope the guy gets it fixed once and for all. But dang, I don’t know how dude is smiling in that photo because if I was going down this road I wouldn’t be able to sleep properly.


  • Some have suggested that the Deep State is already seeking to undermine Trump’s second presidency by plotting a civil war or scheming ways to prevent him from entering the White House

    Because they are, and this is the really important part, FUCKING IDIOTS WHO SAY DUMB SHIT.

    This is the shit that gets me upset. Back in the early 90s there was this group online, had an IRC chat room and everything, that would wax prophetic about pyramids, exotic matter, the Kennedy’s, and the Pentagon. NO ONE FUCKING WROTE ARTICLES ABOUT THEIR DUMB ASSES. Because they were idiots.

    “Some have suggested” WHO?! Name and shame or shut the fuck up about it. Articles like this just fucking make idiots look bonafide. This isn’t an us vs them situation. This is like eight people who are detached from reality saying crazy ass shit and some outlet reporting it on a slow news day.

    I swear one day, I hope, media will see how fucking twisted they themselves have made this god-forsaken planet. What they draw from it, I know not what, but hopefully a bit of “damn maybe we should chill a bit” is in the cards.



  • Exactly. Like I’m going to feel whatever for the opposite side of the aisle here. But the fuckers who looked at the state of affairs outside and was like “nah, fuck it”. Oooo, that’s a whole other feeling that’s not pleasant one bit.

    I do really hope that everyone understands that the default nature of the universe is to be undone, including the niche that humanity inhabits, and that are continued still being here state requires some input from us. Get up off your collective asses and do something for fucks sake. Somehow I don’t believe it’s a tall task to press a fucking button. Which one we can debate, but at least PUSH ONE OF THEM.