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Cake day: June 15th, 2023

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  • I can understand why the people who performed the attack consider it to be “extremely targeted”. All accounts that I have read say that these pagers were used directly by Hezbollah as an alternative to cell phones, which they believe the IDF have the ability to track. I haven’t seen any reputable source claiming that these pagers were in use by the general population. So they consider these attacks targeted at Hezbollah, because only Hezbollah members should have had them.

    They were not intending to target children or other civilians, but of course when something goes off at a random time like this there is no guarantee that only the targets are in possession of these devices.

    However, I think the attack will end up actually harming Israeli security, for two reasons:

    First of all, they put too much explosive stuff in it. If it were a smaller explosion (or even just a short circuit leading to device failure), fewer people would have been hurt, and they would have more claim to say they were targeting communications infrastructure. But if the explosions were smaller, the attack would not have gotten into the news. I think they made the explosions larger than necessary just to make headlines, without regard to collateral damage. I think that’s the part that would get any other country into hot water as a war crime.

    But more importantly, they have proven to Hezbollah that Israel cannot track these closed pager networks, otherwise they would not have needed to blow them up! So now Hezbollah has learned to open up every pager before deploying, and once they source more devices they have their secure network back.

    So in a few months, Israelis will be in a less secure position than they were before the attack, just because some of their leaders wanted to make headlines.





  • The campaign should make a totally over-the-top AI video of Trump in a chicken suit running away from CNN HQ (or Taylor Swift in the US Flag outfit she was wearing in the bogus Trump AI endorsement). Make it totally clear that it is a fake AI stunt, yet spam it to all the social media anyway. Throw in Vance lounging on a La-z-boy for good measure.

    Calling these fascists out on their real racist policies doesn’t see to work as well as simply making fun of them. They can’t stand it when people mock them.


  • No, there are other things keeping them together, like “starve the beast” tax cuts, racism, and Fascism. They want to make sure that the “others” are sufficiently put in their place.

    There may be some collateral damage along the way. Loomer is especially dangerous because she is unaccountable to voters, so is able to do things that a politician looking for votes cannot. But I don’t think the occasional slap fight will derail the overall mission of the party to entrench themselves as the ruling class, in spite of their dwindling numbers.


  • All those more “competent” fascists are simply trying to position themselves for the inevitable post-Trump GOP. God will eventually exercise His Ultimate Veto on Donald Trump. When that happens, the GOP will appear to be divided into folks who double down on Trumpism (like Vance), and folks who are just as evil but will use Trump’s absence as a fig leaf to pretend the party has changed (like DeSantis)

    This division won’t be real at all. It will all be performative, like the Kayfabe in Pro Wrestling, or the factions in Survivor. It will still be racism and Fascism all the way down. But the GOP Reality Show will still need to pretend there is a choice that they can rally the team around.




  • Most states (maybe even all of them by now) offer a non-driver ID, which has just as much validity as ID as a drivers license, but isn’t valid for driving.

    All that ID does is prove residence, though, it doesn’t prove citizenship. Most first-time applicants will also have to submit a birth certificate or other document proving citizenship. The USA has no other national document that proves citizenship. This service is for passport renewals, presumably the first time you apply for a passport you will still need to show up in person, with your documents.



  • NYT says this switch to pagers has been recent, after the Oct 7 attacks last year, when Hezbollah suspected that Israel was spying on the cell network, and using it to locate targets for strikes. So all these pagers got distributed to Hezbollah-affiliated people in short order . This system doesn’t use commercial networks, and has been called a “closed” network by the NYT.

    If all that is true, then that means anyone with one of these closed-network pagers got it from being involved with Hezbollah in the first place.




  • The equity structure for these tokens will be that 20% of the project’s tokens are allotted to the founding team, which includes the Trumps, 17% of tokens are set aside for user rewards, and the remaining 63% of the coins will be made available for the public to purchase, said founder Zak Folkman.

    I don’t think there’s any guarantee at all that all 63% of the coins “allocated to the public” will be released at first. They will probably release a fraction of that, and the constrained supply will not be enough to meet the demand from the Saudi and Russian governments looking to funnel money to Trump.

    So the price will zoom up, and then they will decide whether to sell their own stash or more of the public stash into that surge. The end game is to harvest as much cash as they can from these foreign actors. And if any loyal Trumpists happen to lose their piddly life savings in the meantime, that’s a chance Trump is willing to take.