"Former President Donald Trump once again appears to be in the driver’s seat in this presidential election.
When looking strictly at the polls, Trump now has the edge in two states and the other five most closely watched states are toss-ups. At the end of August, Vice President Harris had leads large enough in three of the seven states for them to lean in her direction, according to an NPR analysis of polling averages at the time.
Now, Trump has taken over the lead in an average of the polls in the seven swing states for the first time since Harris got in the race."
The polls are always underestimating GOP support whenever Trump is specifically on the ballot. Midterm polling is more accurate.
A 0~+1 Harris lead is almost certainly a +4 Trump lead…
Soooooooo “glad” to see we are going in the Reich direction here…
/Wrist
That was before the Dobbs decision.
The 2022 midterms shed some light on what’s going on here. The Republicans flooded the polling with rightwing bullshit polls. That, in turn, led them to believe they were going to win the house by 30-40 seats and take the senate as well.
Vote.
What is the point of giving inaccurate polling intentionally though? Wouldn’t you want proper polling so you know where focus is needed?
It drives down voter turnout because when you see a massive landslide on the horizon, why bother to vote?
Also, when they lose, they will use it to scream voter fraud.